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Rotating ministers…are they mad?

Now it seems the reshuffle might throw up another novelty; that the Green leader could stand down from cabinet and allow Ciarán Cuffe take his place. While this may seem admirable in that no minister...

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Sunday Business Post/Red C Poll 21 November 2010: Fianna Fail down to 29 seats?

Adrian Kavanagh, 21st November 2010 The latest Sunday Business Post/Red C poll figures estimate party support as follows: Fianna Fail 17%, Fine Gael 33%, Labour Party 27%, Sinn Fein 11%, Green Party...

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The election is called – or is it?

Posted by Eoin O’Malley, 22 November 2010 The decision of the Greens to call for the election to take place, confirms what most already expected, that an election will take place in early 2011. That...

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Irish Times Ipsos-MRBI opinion poll December 16

Adrian Kavanagh, 15 December 2010 Irish Times Ipsos-MRBI opinion poll December 16:  FF 17 (-7), FG 30 (+6), Lab 25 (-8), Greens 2 (NC), SF 15 (+7), Others 11 (+2) On the basis of these figures, my...

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Sunday Business Post/Red C Poll, 19th December

Adrian Kavanagh, 18 December 2010 Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll December 20:  FF 17 (NC), FG 34 (+1), Lab 23 (-4), Greens 2 (-1), SF 14 (+3), Others 10 (+2) On the basis of these figures, my...

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Newstalk “General Election 2011″ prediction survey: A Commentary

Adrian Kavanagh, 21 December 2010 – latest updates: 30 December 2010 As an alternative perspective to the opinion poll results that have been published over the past few weeks and my constituency-level...

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Red C/Paddy Power Poll, 7th January 2011: Kenny Krusade and Doherty Drive...

Adrian Kavanagh, 7th January 2011 Ah a New Year dawns (Happy New Year btw folks) and brings with it a new poll and some more figures to be crunched. A Red C poll carried out for Paddy Power estimates...

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Fine Gael-Fianna Fail grand coalition the only option?: Sunday...

The Sunday Times-Behaviour & Attitudes poll (18th December 2011) points to a more than signficant dip in support for the government parties following the budger, with a notable recovery for Fianna...

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March in like a lion but not out like a lamb for the larger parties: Analyses...

Adrian Kavanagh, 1st March 2014 March had come in like a lion for the three largest parties in the state but definitely did not go out like a lamb. The latest Sunday Independent-Millward Brown poll saw...

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The Pre-Election Polls: Constitiuency-level analyses of the late April and...

Adrian Kavanagh, first posted 28th April 2014, with later updates A series of opinion polls published in the weeks leading up to the May 23rd Local and European elections brought further bad news for...

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“When the hurly-burly’s done…”: Constituency-level analyses of the...

Adrian Kavanagh, 12th June 2014 (with subsequent updates) The local and European elections brought a (probably quite welcome!) respite to the spate of opinion polls that had appeared in the run up to...

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Love’s Labour Not Entirely Lost?: Constituency-level analysis of the Sunday...

Adrian Kavanagh, 16th August 2014  The latest in the series of Behaviour & Attitudes polls has brought good news for the Labour Party after a long period of dismal results in previous such opinion...

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Irish Times Ipsos-MRBI opinion poll December 16

Adrian Kavanagh, 15 December 2010 Irish Times Ipsos-MRBI opinion poll December 16:  FF 17 (-7), FG 30 (+6), Lab 25 (-8), Greens 2 (NC), SF 15 (+7), Others 11 (+2) On the basis of these figures, my...

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Sunday Business Post/Red C Poll, 19th December

Adrian Kavanagh, 18 December 2010 Sunday Business Post-Red C opinion poll December 20:  FF 17 (NC), FG 34 (+1), Lab 23 (-4), Greens 2 (-1), SF 14 (+3), Others 10 (+2) On the basis of these figures, my...

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General Election 2016; Results and Analysis

This roundtable discussion is open to the public and will discuss the February 2016 election results. Contributors will provide an overview of main factors which influenced voting behaviour, will...

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